EXTRACTS and TABLES from a study  for the royal automobile club -  8 July  97

 

GRIDLOCK and INFORMATION SOCIETY TECHNOLOGIES

 

By Noel Hodson, SW2000 Telework Studies, Oxford, 1997.

 

Table of Contents 

1.          Introduction   4

2.          Executive Summary of the Report   4

3.          Background   4

3.1.1     ROAD USERS. 4

3.1.2     LINKED SYSTEMS. 4

3.1.3     VEHICLES EVOLUTION.. 5

3.1.4     TELE-TOOLS, MEETINGS & MAIL. 5

3.1.5     VIP TELEPHONES. 5

3.1.6     TELEWORKERS’ MILEAGE.. 5

3.1.7     FACTORIES - PERIPHERALS ON THE INTERNET. 6

3.1.8     AUTOMATION - WORKING HARD TO ABOLISH WORK. 6

3.1.9     ALL CITIZENS TRAVEL. 6

3.1.10        BUSINESS AND THE HOME.. 7

4.          The Quiet Revolution   7

5.          Road Space - The first axis   8

5.1.1.1        Table   - All Journeys, average persons, per annum.. 8

5.1.2     Work Miles per annum.. 8

5.1.3     Road Space for Cars. 9

5.1.3.1        -   Table   Miles per annum.. 9

5.1.3.2        Table  - Vehicles on an average day. 10

5.1.3.3        Table - Business Travel Destinations - Potential Gridlocks. 11

5.1.3.4        Table - GRIDLOCK CALCULATION.. 12

5.1.3.5        Table - National Gridlock - Filling All Main Roads. 12

5.1.3.6        Table - A Typical Traffic Day - Where we travel and Why. 13

5.1.4     Working Vehicles use all major roads every workday. 14

5.1.4.1        Table - Local Gridlock - Morning Peak Hour Major Road Use. 15

5.1.4.2        Table - Cars  up 20% by 2007AD - Gridlock occurs. 16

6.          Technology - the second axis   17

6.1.1.1        Table - redundant technology up to 2005AD.. 17

6.1.1.2        Table - Trained by 2005 to use new equipment 18

6.1.1.3        User Friendly Products. 18

7.          Barriers - The third axis   18

7.1.1.1        Table - Barriers to new work methods. 18

8.          Jobs and Lifestyles - The fourth axis   19

8.1.1.1        Table:  Teleworkers including Telecommuters. 19

8.1.1.2        Table:   Flexible Working - Inflexible Commuters. 20

8.1.1.3        Table:   Type of  Work at Home. 21

9.          Telework and Work Equipment   21

9.1        Brief overview and economic and cost/benefit summary.. 21

9.1.1     Table - Telework Telecommute - some international comparisons. 21

10.        Communications Technology   21

10.1       Brief History of communications for work and war.. 21

10.1.1        An hour with your Lawyer - comparative costs of meetings. 21

10.1.1.1      Table - Meeting your Lawyer - comparative costs. 22

10.2       Investment in wired and wireless networks. 23

10.2.1        R&D  Current  Developments. 24

10.2.2        The telephone - lifetime numbers - wireless, world wide. 24

10.2.3        Computers - unbundling applications - user friendly peripherals. 24

10.2.4        Fax Machines - printers - the miracles of paper technology. 24

10.2.5        Cables - photonics -  interactive TV (as videophones). 24

10.2.6        Broad Band - rapid transmission of data. 24

10.2.7        Internet - a low cost global telephone network. 24

10.2.8        Remote control - managing factories,  cargoes and offices by wire. 24

10.2.9        Transport systems controls. 24

10.3       Future Uses - for Work - for Travel. 24

11.        Road and Rail Maintena